Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
分类：长周期
截止：2028-11-07（810 天）
成交 $44.5M · 持仓 $2.4M
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
市场共识概率
0%
Yes / No
AI 判断
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| 模型 | 说明 | 概率 | 权重 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 经济模型 | 待接入 | — |
| Math | 数学模型 | 待接入 | — |
| Physics / Statistics | 物理与统计模型 | 待接入 | — |
| News | 新闻模型 | 待接入 | — |
| KOL | KOL 模型 | 待接入 | — |
| LLM Debate | 多模型辩论 | 待接入 | — |
| JKJ | 非传统实验信号 | 待接入 | — |
本地小模型尚未搭建完成，各模型概率与权重为预留位。
结算规则（来源网站原文）
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.