Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
分类：长周期
截止：2028-11-07（810 天）
成交 $43.0M · 持仓 $2.9M
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
市场共识概率
0%
Yes / No
AI 判断
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本地模型未接入
Edge
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待 AI 层接入后计算
七模型分解
| 模型 | 说明 | 概率 | 权重 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 经济模型 | 待接入 | — |
| Math | 数学模型 | 待接入 | — |
| Physics / Statistics | 物理与统计模型 | 待接入 | — |
| News | 新闻模型 | 待接入 | — |
| KOL | KOL 模型 | 待接入 | — |
| LLM Debate | 多模型辩论 | 待接入 | — |
| JKJ | 非传统实验信号 | 待接入 | — |
本地小模型尚未搭建完成，各模型概率与权重为预留位。
结算规则（来源网站原文）
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.